Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +2 (107-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 9-23 | 2-5 | 7-12 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 36 | 2-16 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 35 | 5-19 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Ben Sheppard * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 30 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jay Huff | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Quenton Jackson | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mac McClung | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Max Christie * | 33 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 21 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 22 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 19 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter