Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.8% | 50.2% | +0.0 | ✗ (18.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -18 (121-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 40 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 37 | 8-16 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 11-19 | 4-8 | 5-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 29 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 23 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tari Eason | 22 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Steven Adams | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 18 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Clint Capela | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 33 | 11-16 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 32 | 11-18 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 23 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 19 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 18 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter