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2025-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% - βœ“
Margin 28.8% 71.2% +5.0 βœ“ (15.0 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 35.5% 64.5% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +20 (125-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 34 7-19 2-8 3-5 11 4 1 2 3 19 15 -
Donovan Mitchell * 31 5-12 5-9 0-2 4 6 0 1 3 15 11 -
De'Andre Hunter * 30 5-17 3-12 5-5 6 2 0 0 1 18 8 -
Jaylon Tyson * 26 8-11 2-5 1-2 5 1 3 0 3 19 14 -
Jarrett Allen * 25 4-7 0-0 8-8 6 1 1 1 1 16 17 -
Lonzo Ball 24 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 3 5 -
Craig Porter Jr. 22 2-4 2-3 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 7 8 -
Dean Wade 17 2-5 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Larry Nance Jr. 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Tyrese Proctor 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Thomas Bryant 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Luke Travers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 34 5-20 3-12 6-6 5 4 1 0 2 19 7 -
Josh Minott * 32 4-9 2-6 1-2 14 2 3 1 1 11 21 -
Payton Pritchard * 31 4-13 1-8 1-2 3 10 2 0 1 10 11 -
Jaylen Brown * 31 12-20 4-9 2-2 5 4 1 1 2 30 19 -
Neemias Queta * 25 3-5 0-1 4-6 13 3 3 0 1 10 23 -
Anfernee Simons 26 4-9 4-6 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 14 6 -
Sam Hauser 21 7-13 7-13 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 21 12 -
Luka Garza 16 3-6 0-2 4-4 5 2 1 1 0 10 13 -
Baylor Scheierman 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Xavier Tillman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jordan Walsh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter