Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +13 (131-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 31 | 8-23 | 0-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 24 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 25 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 22 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| John Konchar | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Javon Small | 16 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 14 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| PJ Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandin Podziemski * | 31 | 8-14 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Moses Moody | 22 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 18 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Quinten Post | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Will Richard | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Gui Santos | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter