Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +18 (121-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett * | 32 | 9-18 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 23 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 30 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 9-14 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 26 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Riley Minix | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter