Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (139-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 13-24 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 33 | 22 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 31 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 31 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 27 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 21 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 21 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 34 | 11-14 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 28 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 20 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 29 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Max Christie | 26 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Miles Kelly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter