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2025-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 4.9% 95.1% -
Bradley-Terry 12.7% 87.3% -
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 29.1% 70.9% -
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Log Adjusted 18.2% 81.8% -
Points Off/Def 22.8% 77.2% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +4 (114-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 36 11-24 3-6 8-12 10 8 3 0 2 33 28 -
Aaron Nesmith * 35 6-17 5-12 1-3 8 2 0 0 0 18 11 -
Ben Sheppard * 32 2-9 0-5 2-4 6 2 0 0 2 6 3 -
Jay Huff * 15 2-5 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 5 -2 -
Isaiah Jackson * 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
RayJ Dennis 27 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 5 2 3 3 12 12 -
Jarace Walker 26 2-8 1-5 0-0 7 4 0 1 2 5 7 -
Tony Bradley 25 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 12 13 -
Obi Toppin 16 2-6 1-3 4-4 6 0 1 0 2 9 8 -
Quenton Jackson 9 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 38 11-18 1-4 8-10 4 6 1 0 3 31 21 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 37 5-13 3-8 4-5 2 3 1 0 1 17 9 -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 3-13 1-6 4-6 5 1 1 2 0 11 7 -
Rudy Gobert * 33 6-7 0-0 2-7 18 1 0 2 1 14 27 -
Anthony Edwards * 3 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Mike Conley 24 1-4 1-4 3-3 1 4 0 0 2 6 5 -
Naz Reid 23 6-12 1-4 3-4 10 2 2 0 3 16 15 -
Bones Hyland 18 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 3 5 2 -
Jaylen Clark 15 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
Joe Ingles 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter