Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +5 (118-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 33 | 14-20 | 1-1 | 11-16 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 45 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| AJ Green * | 30 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Taurean Prince | 31 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Amir Coffey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Sears | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Andre Jackson Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 34 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 12-12 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 33 | 9-20 | 1-8 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 7 | - |
| Sam Merrill * | 30 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Dean Wade | 23 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
* = starter