Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +6 (119-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick White * | 36 | 6-18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Jaylen Brown * | 35 | 12-25 | 5-9 | 12-15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 41 | 22 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 33 | 8-16 | 2-8 | 3-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Hugo González * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sam Hauser | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 22 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Josh Minott | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Luka Garza | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Boucher | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 37 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 29 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 29 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 21 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Green | 16 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter