Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +25 (128-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nesmith * | 31 | 5-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 27 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 8-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 25 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Ben Sheppard * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| James Wiseman * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 27 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 26 | 2-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Obi Toppin | 25 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Wells * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 9-9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 25 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| John Konchar | 24 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 23 | 9-13 | 6-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 20 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Javon Small | 20 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 15 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| PJ Hall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| GG Jackson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter