Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✓ (18.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +20 (139-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 27 | 12-22 | 7-14 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 21 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 24 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Will Richard | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 22 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Moses Moody | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Gui Santos | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toumani Camara * | 32 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Deni Avdija * | 29 | 11-18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 25 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Jerami Grant | 27 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Kris Murray | 26 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Matisse Thybulle | 15 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Duop Reath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter