Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✗ (18.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -10 (107-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyshawn George * | 35 | 11-15 | 7-9 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 34 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 33 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Alex Sarr * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tre Johnson | 26 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Cam Whitmore | 16 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 14 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 7 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Will Riley | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 39 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 37 | 9-19 | 0-4 | 9-12 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Max Christie | 29 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 11 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter