Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.4% | 11.6% | -11.1 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -4 (116-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 39 | 8-19 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 32 | 13-23 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 29 | 29 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 25 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 45 | 9-18 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Jordan Poole * | 41 | 8-20 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 36 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 11-16 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 28 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 27 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Derik Queen | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 28 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter