Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -4 (111-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobias Harris * | 40 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Cade Cunningham * | 39 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 38 | 5-9 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 24 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Paul Reed | 19 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 12 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Chaz Lanier | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Daniss Jenkins | 5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 39 | 3-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 38 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 7-10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 28 | 9-18 | 3-3 | 16-18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 27 | - |
| Steven Adams * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - |
| Tari Eason | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 20 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Clint Capela | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter