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2025-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 23.8% 76.2% - ✗
Margin 12.6% 87.4% +10.6 ✗ (16.6 off)
Pythagorean 32.6% 67.4% - ✗
Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% - ✗
Points Off/Def 34.5% 65.5% - ✗

Actual: Toronto Raptors -6 (116-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 37 11-14 2-2 7-12 20 7 0 1 5 31 40 -
Gary Trent Jr. * 29 7-15 4-11 2-4 2 4 0 0 1 20 10 -
Ryan Rollins * 29 5-11 1-5 2-2 5 2 3 1 3 13 10 -
Myles Turner * 28 2-8 0-3 0-0 5 2 1 2 3 4 3 -
AJ Green * 25 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 9 5 -
Cole Anthony 26 9-14 2-5 3-7 4 7 2 0 1 23 21 -
Bobby Portis 21 5-13 1-5 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
Taurean Prince 21 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 5 -
Kyle Kuzma 17 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 8 7 -
Amir Coffey 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 10-20 3-7 6-7 6 3 0 1 4 29 15 -
Immanuel Quickley * 36 6-14 1-4 6-10 7 8 2 0 2 19 20 -
Scottie Barnes * 35 6-15 2-4 3-4 5 3 3 0 3 17 10 -
RJ Barrett * 32 9-12 1-3 1-3 6 2 2 2 2 20 18 -
Jakob Poeltl * 26 3-5 0-0 0-2 5 2 0 0 1 6 7 -
Gradey Dick 17 2-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Jamal Shead 11 1-6 0-2 2-2 0 4 1 0 0 4 3 -
Ochai Agbaji 11 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
Jamison Battle 10 3-3 3-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 8 -
Jonathan Mogbo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -

* = starter