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2025-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 66.1% 33.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - ✓
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - ✓
Efficiency 66.5% 33.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 63.9% 36.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 64.0% 36.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 55.7% 44.3% - ✓

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -4 (114-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 14-28 5-10 8-8 7 1 0 1 4 41 18 -
Julius Randle * 37 7-13 3-5 2-4 7 6 2 1 0 19 22 -
Rudy Gobert * 31 3-4 0-0 4-6 6 0 0 1 0 10 13 -
Jaden McDaniels * 28 6-12 3-4 3-4 5 2 1 3 3 18 14 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 20 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 2 6 7 5 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 25 4-7 2-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 2 10 12 -
Naz Reid 19 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 1 2 1 6 8 -
Jaylen Clark 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 2 5 -
Mike Conley 12 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 0 -
Bones Hyland 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 34 3-9 2-5 2-2 9 5 0 0 0 10 15 -
Jrue Holiday * 33 5-15 1-7 3-4 6 7 3 0 4 14 11 -
Deni Avdija * 32 6-16 0-6 8-10 7 1 0 1 2 20 11 -
Donovan Clingan * 30 3-5 2-4 0-0 6 1 2 1 1 8 12 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 28 5-20 3-9 2-2 2 4 1 0 4 15 -2 -
Jerami Grant 27 10-14 4-7 5-6 3 1 0 1 1 29 19 -
Kris Murray 18 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
Blake Wesley 14 2-5 0-1 3-5 3 4 2 0 2 7 9 -
Matisse Thybulle 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 2 6 -
Yang Hansen 5 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter