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2025-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.3% 72.7% -
Margin 21.0% 79.0% +7.3 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.1% 64.9% -
Efficiency 24.0% 76.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -
Points Off/Def 30.5% 69.5% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +13 (133-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyshawn George * 32 7-15 3-6 4-8 9 4 1 2 2 21 20 -
Bub Carrington * 29 4-9 3-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 11 9 -
CJ McCollum * 29 4-14 0-6 1-1 6 3 0 0 0 9 4 -
Khris Middleton * 28 9-14 3-5 2-3 6 3 0 0 2 23 16 -
Alex Sarr * 25 5-10 0-0 0-2 11 3 0 0 1 10 13 -
Tre Johnson 26 5-11 4-8 2-2 5 2 1 1 4 16 10 -
Cam Whitmore 19 6-12 1-5 1-1 5 1 0 0 0 14 8 -
Corey Kispert 18 4-8 3-7 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 11 5 -
Marvin Bagley III 14 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 1 5 -
Justin Champagnie 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Will Riley 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 4 -
Anthony Gill 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Tristan Vukcevic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
AJ Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Sharife Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Myles Turner * 29 4-12 2-8 1-2 8 5 0 3 1 11 14 -
AJ Green * 27 4-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 9 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 26 16-26 1-3 4-7 14 5 0 0 2 37 28 -
Gary Trent Jr. * 24 6-12 5-11 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 17 12 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 9 3-5 2-3 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 10 8 -
Ryan Rollins 29 2-9 1-6 4-4 4 3 2 0 2 9 7 -
Kyle Kuzma 23 5-10 0-2 2-2 4 3 2 2 1 12 12 -
Taurean Prince 21 4-5 3-4 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 11 10 -
Bobby Portis 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Amir Coffey 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Cole Anthony 11 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 5 0 1 1 9 11 -
Andre Jackson Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jericho Sims 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Gary Harris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter