Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +6 (128-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 36 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 33 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Trey Murphy III * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Poole * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears | 18 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Derik Queen | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Hunter Dickinson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 9-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 28 | 13-20 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 20 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 27 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 26 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 24 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Javon Small | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| John Konchar | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter