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2025-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 36.8% 63.2% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% - βœ“
Margin 47.2% 52.8% +0.6 βœ— (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% - βœ—
Efficiency 57.3% 42.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 51.9% 48.1% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 46.9% 53.1% - βœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -20 (118-138). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 31 9-14 0-0 4-4 6 9 1 2 1 22 25 -
RJ Barrett * 29 9-12 2-4 5-5 8 5 2 0 4 25 24 -
Immanuel Quickley * 28 5-12 0-7 3-4 4 8 1 0 3 13 11 -
Brandon Ingram * 26 7-16 0-2 2-3 9 3 2 0 5 16 9 -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 7-8 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 1 2 14 13 -
Gradey Dick 23 6-10 2-4 7-8 5 0 1 0 0 21 17 -
Ochai Agbaji 19 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 4 5 -
Jamal Shead 19 3-5 1-2 3-4 2 5 1 0 2 10 11 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 17 3-6 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 1 2 7 7 -
Jonathan Mogbo 10 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Jamison Battle 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 34 5-14 1-7 11-13 1 5 1 0 2 22 13 -
Jalen Johnson * 34 7-13 0-2 8-10 7 8 1 1 3 22 23 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 25 5-12 4-7 6-6 7 2 0 2 2 20 17 -
Dyson Daniels * 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 4 4 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 20 7-13 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 16 6 -
Luke Kennard 30 2-7 1-5 1-1 4 3 1 0 3 6 4 -
Onyeka Okongwu 29 8-12 1-2 1-1 6 1 0 0 0 18 13 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 28 2-15 1-5 5-6 4 4 1 1 1 10 4 -
Keaton Wallace 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Mouhamed Gueye 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter