Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 16.7% | 83.3% | +8.9 | β (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +10 (129-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 35 | 9-19 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Max Christie * | 27 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 23 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 24 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 19 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Reaves * | 41 | 12-15 | 6-8 | 8-9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 38 | 33 | - |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 10-18 | 4-9 | 11-11 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 35 | 30 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 36 | 5-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 36 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| LeBron James * | 33 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Gabe Vincent | 22 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter