Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | β (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | β |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +7 (130-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 35 | 15-28 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 42 | 17 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 33 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 26 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 32 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 21 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Dean Wade | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 16 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 38 | 9-18 | 3-7 | 8-12 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 34 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 34 | 10-22 | 5-13 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 13 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 26 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 23 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ | 21 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 15 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter