Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -13 (102-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 36 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 35 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 13 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 11-25 | 3-8 | 12-12 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 27 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 32 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 22 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 16 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 7 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 12-19 | 5-8 | 8-14 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 27 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 32 | 5-17 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 26 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kris Murray | 29 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 21 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 19 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Caleb Love | 12 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Yang Hansen | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duop Reath | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter