Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -4 (100-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Reed Sheppard * | 37 | 12-25 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 7-18 | 0-4 | 2-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 29 | 4-16 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Clint Capela | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| JD Davison | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 34 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Will Richard * | 28 | 7-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Quinten Post | 21 | 5-11 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 15 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Pat Spencer | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gui Santos | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter