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2025-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.4% 51.6% -
Margin 35.2% 64.8% +3.4 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Log Adjusted 57.1% 42.9% -
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -5 (128-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 36 9-23 5-11 4-4 5 2 3 1 0 27 15 -
Vince Williams Jr. * 35 2-6 0-3 1-2 4 17 2 1 6 5 17 -
Cedric Coward * 34 5-10 0-2 2-3 9 4 0 1 3 12 13 -
Zach Edey * 34 10-15 0-1 1-1 15 0 1 2 2 21 22 -
Jaylen Wells * 32 9-11 5-6 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 25 19 -
Santi Aldama 24 5-9 2-3 2-2 5 4 0 1 0 14 15 -
Cam Spencer 19 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 7 1 0 2 11 14 -
Jock Landale 18 5-11 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 11 3 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
John Konchar 13 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 7 6 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Murphy III * 38 5-12 2-6 0-0 4 6 2 0 3 12 9 -
Saddiq Bey * 38 6-13 4-9 2-2 10 2 3 1 0 18 21 -
Zion Williamson * 32 7-15 0-1 3-3 5 4 0 2 5 17 8 -
Jeremiah Fears * 26 4-11 1-3 1-1 2 3 0 0 0 10 4 -
Derik Queen * 22 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 9 1 1 1 10 14 -
Yves Missi 29 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 3 1 6 11 -
Jose Alvarado 26 9-15 6-11 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 24 17 -
Micah Peavy 21 4-9 0-3 3-3 4 2 1 0 1 11 8 -
Jordan Hawkins 15 5-9 4-8 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 14 8 -
Bryce McGowens 13 2-3 2-3 0-1 1 2 0 1 1 6 6 -

* = starter