Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.9% | 90.1% | +12.1 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +2 (97-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard * | 35 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 34 | 5-15 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 26 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jay Huff | 28 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 24 | 8-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Ingram * | 38 | 11-23 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Scottie Barnes * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 14-14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 34 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 2-5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 32 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ochai Agbaji | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter