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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 47.9% 52.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.6% 43.4% - βœ—
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 βœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 46.7% 53.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - βœ“

Actual: Boston Celtics +3 (117-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 36 12-26 4-9 14-16 8 5 1 1 4 42 27 -
Jalen Duren * 30 4-10 0-0 4-6 16 1 0 0 3 12 16 -
Duncan Robinson * 29 4-9 3-8 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 11 7 -
Tobias Harris * 27 4-8 1-5 3-3 4 3 0 2 0 12 13 -
Ausar Thompson * 25 2-8 1-2 3-4 8 2 1 1 2 8 10 -
Caris LeVert 23 3-8 2-4 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 10 7 -
Isaiah Stewart 20 3-7 0-0 0-2 9 1 0 1 1 6 9 -
Ronald Holland II 14 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
Jaden Ivey 14 2-9 0-5 3-3 4 0 1 0 1 7 2 -
Javonte Green 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
Daniss Jenkins 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Payton Pritchard * 34 5-10 4-7 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 16 13 -
Jaylen Brown * 34 12-32 2-7 7-8 10 5 2 2 5 33 15 -
Derrick White * 31 7-13 6-11 7-7 7 3 3 1 2 27 26 -
Jordan Walsh * 28 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 4 2 0 1 7 12 -
Luka Garza * 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Baylor Scheierman 30 5-7 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 13 9 -
Josh Minott 19 3-6 2-3 1-1 5 3 1 0 1 9 11 -
Sam Hauser 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 3 -
Amari Williams 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 1 6 -
Anfernee Simons 11 1-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 1 1 5 3 -
Hugo GonzΓ‘lez 6 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 1 4 -

* = starter