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2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 93.8% 6.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 72.8% 27.2% - ✗
Margin 88.8% 11.2% -11.4 ✗ (30.4 off)
Pythagorean 70.1% 29.9% - ✗
Efficiency 75.5% 24.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% - ✗
Log Adjusted 71.3% 28.7% - ✗
Points Off/Def 62.2% 37.8% - ✗

Actual: Washington Wizards +19 (132-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dyson Daniels * 32 5-11 1-3 0-0 9 7 0 0 3 11 13 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 32 3-9 2-6 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 8 2 -
Jalen Johnson * 30 3-12 0-4 1-1 7 7 1 2 5 7 7 -
Zaccharie Risacher * 29 6-12 4-9 1-2 5 0 2 3 1 17 14 -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 21 7-13 2-5 6-7 8 1 0 0 0 22 18 -
Onyeka Okongwu 19 8-14 3-6 1-2 3 0 0 1 1 20 9 -
Mouhamed Gueye 17 3-6 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
Luke Kennard 15 3-7 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 2 9 5 -
Vít Krejčí 14 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
Keaton Wallace 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 0 4 -
Jacob Toppin 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Asa Newell 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Sarr * 37 11-15 1-2 4-8 11 0 2 2 1 27 26 -
CJ McCollum * 36 17-25 10-13 2-4 5 4 1 0 2 46 29 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 34 2-6 0-3 5-6 3 4 2 1 1 9 12 -
Khris Middleton * 31 3-8 1-1 3-3 7 12 1 1 2 10 21 -
Corey Kispert * 24 6-11 4-8 3-5 3 1 3 1 0 19 16 -
Bub Carrington 21 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 6 0 0 3 10 7 -
Justin Champagnie 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 4 9 -
Tristan Vukcevic 10 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 7 5 -
Cam Whitmore 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
Malaki Branham 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 -
Sharife Cooper 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jamir Watkins 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Will Riley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter