Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -4 (123-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija * | 39 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 12-13 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 25 | - |
| Toumani Camara * | 33 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Jerami Grant * | 30 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Clingan * | 27 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Sidy Cissoko * | 23 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Love | 37 | 9-20 | 6-14 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Robert Williams III | 20 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Kris Murray | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rayan Rupert | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Duop Reath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javonte Cooke | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 33 | 14-23 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 18 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Will Richard * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Al Horford | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Quinten Post | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter