Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | +0.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (118-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 35 | 7-14 | 1-7 | 10-10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Derik Queen * | 32 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Zion Williamson * | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 19 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Saddiq Bey | 18 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Yves Missi | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 13 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 37 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 32 | 12-19 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 22 | - |
| Max Christie * | 31 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 28 | 1-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dereck Lively II | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 16 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 14 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
* = starter