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2025-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 13.5% 86.5% - ✓
Margin 5.0% 95.0% +16.2 ✓ (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 22.4% 77.6% - ✓
Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 19.1% 80.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 19.1% 80.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 23.3% 76.7% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors +30 (140-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyshawn George * 28 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 2 5 5 2 -
Bilal Coulibaly * 26 1-6 0-5 7-8 3 2 2 0 1 9 9 -
CJ McCollum * 25 8-15 2-7 2-3 3 3 1 0 2 20 10 -
Khris Middleton * 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 2 1 -
Tristan Vukcevic * 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 1 -
Tre Johnson 19 5-8 3-5 1-2 2 2 0 1 1 14 10 -
Justin Champagnie 18 3-6 0-2 1-1 3 4 2 0 0 7 10 -
Corey Kispert 18 3-6 2-4 1-2 3 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
Cam Whitmore 17 5-9 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
Bub Carrington 16 3-5 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 7 6 -
Will Riley 9 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
Jamir Watkins 9 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
Anthony Gill 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Malaki Branham 4 2-3 1-2 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 9 6 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Immanuel Quickley * 30 6-10 3-6 2-2 2 7 1 1 0 17 18 -
RJ Barrett * 29 9-15 2-5 4-8 8 4 0 0 2 24 19 -
Brandon Ingram * 29 6-12 0-3 12-13 8 6 2 1 4 24 25 -
Scottie Barnes * 29 10-15 3-4 0-0 5 2 3 0 2 23 16 -
Jakob Poeltl * 19 1-1 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 1 1 3 12 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 22 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 2 3 0 0 3 9 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 20 8-15 2-3 5-6 7 2 1 0 1 23 17 -
Gradey Dick 18 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 2 6 2 -
Jamal Shead 16 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 10 1 1 0 7 18 -
Ochai Agbaji 15 1-3 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Garrett Temple 3 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
Jamison Battle 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter