Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.3% | 91.7% | +13.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +11 (120-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bennedict Mathurin * | 37 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 9-15 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Andrew Nembhard * | 32 | 11-20 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 23 | - |
| Ben Sheppard * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jay Huff | 26 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jarace Walker | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T.J. McConnell | 17 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Garrison Mathews | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell * | 34 | 11-22 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 20 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 7-11 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 27 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 28 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Darius Garland * | 26 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 7-7 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson * | 26 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Lonzo Ball | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Dean Wade | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter