Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 12.2% | 87.8% | +10.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -1 (108-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 36 | 16-26 | 9-17 | 8-8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 49 | 28 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Will Richard * | 15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 29 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Al Horford | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Quinten Post | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 38 | 10-21 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 20 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 33 | 10-22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 12 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter