Model Predictions
| Model | LA Clippers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -4.4 | β (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | β |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (127-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LA Clippers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Harden * | 51 | 13-25 | 6-12 | 9-11 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 41 | 41 | - |
| Ivica Zubac * | 46 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. * | 40 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Kris Dunn * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| John Collins * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bogdan BogdanoviΔ | 37 | 8-14 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Nicolas Batum | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kobe Sanders | 13 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Miller | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Brook Lopez | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 47 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 47 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Max Christie * | 36 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Williams * | 18 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 38 | 11-24 | 0-6 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 10 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 27 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Dereck Lively II | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
* = starter