Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -14 (104-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 40 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 9-13 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 38 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 11-13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 35 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 6-15 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 10 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 38 | 13-21 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35 | 16 | - |
| Saddiq Bey * | 36 | 3-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Herbert Jones * | 34 | 4-14 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Jeremiah Fears * | 28 | 8-16 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Kevon Looney * | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Derik Queen | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jose Alvarado | 21 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Karlo Matković | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Yves Missi | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Hawkins | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Micah Peavy | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter