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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% -
Bradley-Terry 36.0% 64.0% -
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 (17.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 21.7% 78.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.0% 74.0% -
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% -
Points Off/Def 29.0% 71.0% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +24 (140-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 33 6-12 3-7 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 16 3 -
Shaedon Sharpe * 31 7-16 1-5 4-8 8 3 1 1 3 19 13 -
Deni Avdija * 30 7-15 2-5 6-7 10 4 0 0 7 22 14 -
Jrue Holiday * 29 4-9 3-7 2-2 4 6 2 0 2 13 14 -
Donovan Clingan * 23 4-9 0-3 1-1 8 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
Jerami Grant 28 4-8 1-3 4-5 2 3 0 0 1 13 9 -
Kris Murray 22 2-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
Robert Williams III 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
Sidy Cissoko 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Duop Reath 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
Caleb Love 4 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
Rayan Rupert 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alperen Sengun * 36 9-13 4-6 3-4 10 9 3 3 0 25 37 -
Kevin Durant * 35 12-19 3-6 3-3 5 3 1 0 3 30 17 -
Amen Thompson * 32 6-17 0-4 7-7 2 4 1 1 0 19 10 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 26 9-16 4-9 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 22 14 -
Josh Okogie * 20 5-9 1-3 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 11 9 -
Reed Sheppard 25 5-12 3-9 0-0 3 3 4 0 0 13 11 -
Steven Adams 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 2 0 5 15 -
Aaron Holiday 13 3-6 1-4 3-4 0 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
Tari Eason 10 1-6 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 3 4 -
Clint Capela 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jae'Sean Tate 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jeff Green 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
JD Davison 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter