Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +14 (118-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie * | 28 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 25 | 6-15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 25 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 22 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 17 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 16 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 9 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 32 | 7-20 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 29 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 28 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 27 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 18 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Konchar | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| PJ Hall | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Javon Small | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| GG Jackson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter