Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +11 (121-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 38 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 36 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 24 | 2 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 35 | 10-22 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Josh Okogie * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 26 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Tari Eason | 24 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Steven Adams | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Clint Capela | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 38 | 8-11 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 37 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 36 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 4-12 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 31 | 6-14 | 6-13 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 9 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Lindy Waters III | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter