Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.2% | 52.8% | +0.6 | ✗ (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks -12 (97-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Immanuel Quickley * | 34 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Brandon Ingram * | 34 | 7-19 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| RJ Barrett * | 33 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 20 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Collin Murray-Boyles | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Jamal Shead | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gradey Dick | 13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jamison Battle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 34 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 30 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 29 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 29 | 4-16 | 1-7 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 26 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Vít Krejčí | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter