Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.2% | 4.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.3% | 7.7% | -13.6 | ✓ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.1% | 15.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -34 (114-148). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 28 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Evan Mobley * | 27 | 7-16 | 0-4 | 4-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jarrett Allen * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 25 | 8-20 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | - |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 21 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jaylon Tyson | 23 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Sam Merrill | 18 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tyrese Proctor | 18 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 14 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Luke Travers | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nae'Qwan Tomlin | 5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sarr * | 30 | 10-17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Tre Johnson * | 28 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Bub Carrington * | 28 | 2-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 27 | 8-16 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Khris Middleton * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 20 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jamir Watkins | 20 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Justin Champagnie | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Marvin Bagley III | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Will Riley | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| AJ Johnson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Tristan Vukcevic | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Cam Whitmore | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Gill | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter