Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | β (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | β |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 38 | 14-27 | 6-15 | 10-13 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 44 | 30 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 38 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 5-14 | 2-8 | 9-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Smart * | 34 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 31 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Ja Morant * | 30 | 3-14 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jaylen Wells * | 26 | 7-16 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Jock Landale * | 25 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 24 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Cedric Coward | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Cam Spencer | 18 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 17 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| John Konchar | 12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter