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2025-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 41.9% 58.1% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Log Adjusted 39.1% 60.9% -
Points Off/Def 38.3% 61.7% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (101-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 36 8-15 3-5 1-1 3 2 2 0 2 20 10 -
Brandon Ingram * 35 7-15 0-3 6-7 8 5 2 0 2 20 18 -
Scottie Barnes * 34 6-14 1-4 1-4 10 5 1 1 3 14 14 -
Immanuel Quickley * 26 2-9 0-3 0-0 1 6 2 0 2 4 2 -
Collin Murray-Boyles * 20 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
Jamal Shead 21 3-4 1-1 2-2 7 4 0 0 1 9 15 -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 18 2-4 1-3 6-6 6 3 1 1 3 11 15 -
Ochai Agbaji 16 1-3 0-1 1-2 7 2 1 1 1 3 10 -
Jamison Battle 15 7-7 6-6 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 20 14 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 10 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
Gradey Dick 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 35 11-17 2-5 5-8 8 3 3 1 3 29 24 -
De'Andre Hunter * 33 8-18 4-12 6-8 6 2 0 1 3 26 14 -
Jaylon Tyson * 33 7-14 4-8 0-0 3 4 0 3 2 18 12 -
Dean Wade * 30 1-7 1-5 2-2 4 4 3 2 0 5 11 -
Lonzo Ball * 25 3-7 2-4 0-0 5 5 1 0 2 8 10 -
Craig Porter Jr. 20 2-5 1-2 0-2 4 1 1 2 1 5 7 -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Tyrese Proctor 14 2-7 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 4 1 -
Luke Travers 14 0-5 0-2 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
Thomas Bryant 12 2-4 0-1 0-1 3 1 1 0 0 4 5 -

* = starter