Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | β (12.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | β |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -20 (108-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dyson Daniels * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 9-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 29 | - |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Kristaps PorziΕΔ£is * | 23 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 22 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Luke Kennard | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 25 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Keaton Wallace | 16 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Mouhamed Gueye | 15 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Houstan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N'Faly Dante | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Asa Newell | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 29 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 6-10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Jackson * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Jarace Walker * | 27 | 6-13 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 25 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ben Sheppard | 28 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 25 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jay Huff | 21 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mac McClung | 19 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Taelon Peter | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Tony Bradley | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter