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2025-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 53.0% 47.0% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - βœ“
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 βœ“ (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 62.8% 37.2% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 62.9% 37.1% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 53.7% 46.3% - βœ—

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +18 (128-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 34 11-19 3-6 6-9 4 5 0 1 2 31 20 -
Julius Randle * 29 9-16 4-8 4-5 9 6 0 0 3 26 22 -
Rudy Gobert * 28 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 0 1 2 8 -
Donte DiVincenzo * 28 4-8 3-7 2-3 0 4 2 0 0 13 11 -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 5-12 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 10 1 -
Naz Reid 22 2-9 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 1 1 5 4 -
Bones Hyland 16 4-6 1-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 9 6 -
Terrence Shannon Jr. 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Jaylen Clark 13 3-5 1-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 9 8 -
Mike Conley 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Joan Beringer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
Joe Ingles 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Leonard Miller 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Johnny Juzang 3 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
Rob Dillingham 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 36 9-15 2-5 5-5 7 11 0 0 1 25 27 -
Luka DončiΔ‡ * 34 14-23 5-12 16-19 11 8 0 0 3 49 42 -
Rui Hachimura * 31 10-13 2-4 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 23 12 -
Deandre Ayton * 30 7-11 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 1 2 15 11 -
Gabe Vincent * 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 5 8 -
Jake LaRavia 27 2-3 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 6 4 -
Marcus Smart 20 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 3 2 -
Jarred Vanderbilt 19 0-2 0-1 2-2 7 0 2 2 1 2 10 -
Dalton Knecht 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bronny James 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Christian Koloko 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter