Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (104-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 11-28 | 2-8 | 8-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 14 | - |
| Derrick White * | 37 | 1-11 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Payton Pritchard * | 33 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Neemias Queta * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Sam Hauser * | 27 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Anfernee Simons | 24 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Walsh | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Luka Garza | 15 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Baylor Scheierman | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Hugo González | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Xavier Tillman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 40 | 4-17 | 0-4 | 8-10 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Tobias Harris * | 34 | 11-20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 9 | - |
| Duncan Robinson * | 31 | 5-13 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Ausar Thompson * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Stewart | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jaden Ivey | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ronald Holland II | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Javonte Green | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter