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2026-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 13.1% 86.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 29.6% 70.4% - βœ—
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.5 βœ— (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% - βœ—
Efficiency 39.6% 60.4% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - βœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
AJ Green * 41 6-12 6-12 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 18 8 -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 3-9 1-4 3-4 1 1 0 2 1 10 4 -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 7-12 0-1 7-12 17 6 1 1 3 21 31 -
Ryan Rollins * 28 6-12 1-4 1-2 3 3 2 1 2 14 9 -
Myles Turner * 27 5-10 4-6 0-0 8 1 0 0 2 14 11 -
Kevin Porter Jr. 27 2-5 0-0 5-5 6 7 1 1 3 9 16 -
Bobby Portis 23 8-15 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 19 8 -
Gary Harris 15 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 2 7 -
Pete Nance 15 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 2 1 0 5 11 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Johnson * 40 11-24 3-6 3-6 16 6 0 1 2 28 25 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker * 38 9-20 7-16 7-7 6 6 1 1 0 32 26 -
Onyeka Okongwu * 33 0-6 0-3 4-4 10 4 2 1 1 4 14 -
Dyson Daniels * 30 8-16 0-2 1-1 9 10 3 1 2 17 22 -
Corey Kispert * 20 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
CJ McCollum 24 5-11 2-4 5-6 3 3 0 1 2 17 11 -
Vít Krejčí 20 0-6 0-6 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -4 -
Asa Newell 11 3-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 6 2 -
Mouhamed Gueye 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Luke Kennard 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 5 -

* = starter