Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 54.4% | 45.6% | -1.0 | β (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -23 (96-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 33 | 8-14 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Amen Thompson * | 31 | 12-19 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 26 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Steven Adams | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 19 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Okogie | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeff Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| JD Davison | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Clint Capela | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Ayton * | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 33 | 9-17 | 3-8 | 4-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 17 | - |
| LeBron James * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 27 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 14 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 26 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 23 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Maxi Kleber | 6 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bronny James | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Dalton Knecht | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Adou Thiero | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter