Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.7% | 77.3% | +6.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +10 (126-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 35 | 13-21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 34 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Naji Marshall * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Anthony Davis * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Max Christie | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 29 | 9-12 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Klay Thompson | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 6-18 | 2-10 | 9-9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Jimmy Butler III * | 31 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Moses Moody * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 27 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Quinten Post * | 13 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski | 28 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| De'Anthony Melton | 24 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Will Richard | 12 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Al Horford | 11 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
* = starter