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2025-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 32.1% 67.9% -
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% -
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.4 (26.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.1% 63.9% -
Log Adjusted 36.0% 64.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -21 (95-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 30 5-10 1-5 4-6 11 5 1 3 2 15 23 -
Donovan Mitchell * 29 13-18 2-4 7-8 1 2 0 0 5 35 15 -
Jarrett Allen * 25 7-12 0-0 6-7 7 2 1 0 3 20 15 -
De'Andre Hunter * 24 4-11 2-6 3-3 5 6 1 0 2 13 12 -
Sam Merrill * 17 4-7 3-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 11 8 -
Jaylon Tyson 27 0-5 0-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
Craig Porter Jr. 23 1-4 0-2 2-3 7 3 3 0 1 4 12 -
Dean Wade 19 1-3 1-2 2-4 6 2 2 0 2 5 10 -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 3 6 -
Tyrese Proctor 10 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
Thomas Bryant 6 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Luke Travers 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 28 3-14 1-7 5-6 5 4 0 1 5 12 3 -
Duncan Robinson * 25 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 8 1 -
Jalen Duren * 20 3-5 0-0 2-4 7 2 1 2 4 8 11 -
Tobias Harris * 17 2-8 2-5 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 10 5 -
Ausar Thompson * 15 3-6 0-1 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
Ronald Holland II 26 4-9 2-3 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 11 6 -
Isaiah Stewart 25 1-9 1-4 1-2 9 3 1 1 3 4 6 -
Daniss Jenkins 22 4-6 1-1 0-0 0 5 3 0 3 9 8 -
Javonte Green 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 1 -
Chaz Lanier 12 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
Paul Reed 8 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 4 2 -
Colby Jones 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
Bobi Klintman 6 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 2 0 0 2 5 -
Tolu Smith 6 3-4 0-0 5-7 4 0 1 0 1 11 11 -

* = starter