Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.2% | 9.8% | -12.2 | ✓ (20.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -33 (92-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 29 | 15-21 | 1-2 | 9-11 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 40 | 39 | - |
| Stephon Castle * | 28 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 5-10 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Julian Champagnie * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Keldon Johnson | 24 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Dylan Harper | 22 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Luke Kornet | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Carter Bryant | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bismack Biyombo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Harrison Ingram | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Riley Minix | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 32 | 7-22 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Cooper Flagg * | 31 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Klay Thompson * | 22 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Dereck Lively II * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Max Christie | 25 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D'Angelo Russell | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Nembhard | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaden Hardy | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter