Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | β |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | β (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | β |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -10 (109-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler III * | 34 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 16-16 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Brandin Podziemski * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Curry * | 32 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Jonathan Kuminga * | 32 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Draymond Green * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Buddy Hield | 22 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Al Horford | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Will Richard | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Gary Payton II | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Quinten Post | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Gui Santos | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka DonΔiΔ * | 40 | 17-27 | 2-10 | 7-10 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 37 | - |
| Austin Reaves * | 36 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Rui Hachimura * | 35 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Deandre Ayton * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Gabe Vincent * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Marcus Smart | 22 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Jake LaRavia | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaxson Hayes | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jarred Vanderbilt | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter